Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.374728 0.409598 0.446786 0.489486 0.537266 0.589207 0.650105
2025-12-07 0.313113 0.361149 0.415860 0.483159 0.564220 0.659344 0.780357
2025-12-14 0.276548 0.330451 0.394588 0.477256 0.582042 0.711863 0.887114
2025-12-21 0.245482 0.301309 0.369992 0.461792 0.582929 0.739681 0.961809
2025-12-28 0.230625 0.290031 0.365377 0.469508 0.612183 0.804575 1.090265
2026-01-04 0.217644 0.279557 0.360202 0.475011 0.637707 0.865472 1.218618
2026-01-11 0.205685 0.269181 0.353870 0.477684 0.658587 0.920703 1.343795
2026-01-18 0.194980 0.259513 0.347451 0.479181 0.677162 0.973392 1.470127
2026-01-25 0.186430 0.252086 0.343380 0.483331 0.699436 1.032998 1.613645
2026-02-01 0.174826 0.239507 0.330966 0.473904 0.699716 1.057621 1.701057
2026-02-08 0.167773 0.232973 0.326787 0.476393 0.718487 1.113162 1.847737
2026-02-15 0.159686 0.224397 0.318947 0.472456 0.726269 1.150711 1.966120
2026-02-22 0.153678 0.218667 0.315173 0.474862 0.745033 1.209386 2.132812
2026-03-01 0.146062 0.210093 0.306522 0.468761 0.748862 1.242160 2.254086
2026-03-08 0.139187 0.202262 0.298524 0.463072 0.752728 1.275016 2.379412
2026-03-15 0.130815 0.191677 0.285572 0.448163 0.738978 1.273671 2.433302
2026-03-22 0.127852 0.189420 0.285791 0.455603 0.765968 1.351992 2.668155
2026-03-29 0.124643 0.186583 0.284864 0.460907 0.789329 1.425443 2.903301
2026-04-05 0.121106 0.183027 0.282521 0.463484 0.807637 1.490462 3.129024
2026-04-12 0.117581 0.179309 0.279684 0.464926 0.823771 1.552496 3.357361
2026-04-19 0.114733 0.176564 0.278326 0.468927 0.845174 1.627763 3.630921
2026-04-26 0.109774 0.170075 0.270209 0.459841 0.839498 1.643591 3.754106
2026-05-03 0.107050 0.167230 0.268269 0.462239 0.857452 1.713625 4.033167